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TheValueTrader.
Full-Time Technical Analyst  ·  Full-Time Investor
ONDS
Ondas Inc.  ·  NASDAQ
Q1 2026 Earnings Dashboard  ·  May 14, 2026
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Q1 2026 Earnings — Reported May 14, 2026
Revenue up 1,065% YoY — Product EBITDA 2 quarters ahead of plan
$50.1M revenue smashed the $38.2M consensus by 31%. EPS of $0.81 vs estimated loss of -$0.05 — a 1,643% surprise driven partly by $389.5M non-cash warrant gain. Gross margin hit 49%. Company raised FY 2026 guidance to ≥$390M and pulled forward OAS EBITDA profitability to Q1 2027.
Key Metrics — Q1 2026 Actuals
Revenue
$50.1M
+1,065% YoY
Gross Profit
$24.7M
vs $1.5M Q1'25
Gross Margin
49%
+14pp YoY
Operating Loss
−$42.7M
vs −$10.3M Q1'25
Adj. EBITDA
−$10.9M
vs −$7.5M Q1'25
GAAP Net Income
$361.2M
Non-cash driven
Revenue Beat
+31%
$50.1M vs $38.2M est.
EPS Surprise
+1,643%
$0.81 vs −$0.05 est.
Pro Forma Backlog
$457M
vs $68M at FY2025 end
Cash & Investments
$1.48B
Strongest balance sheet in sector
Beat / Miss Matrix
Beats
RevenueEst. $38.2M$50.1M (+31%)
EPSEst. −$0.05$0.81 (+1,643%)
Gross MarginEst. ~44%49%
QoQ Revenue GrowthGuidance range+66% vs Q4 2025
Product EBITDA Profit.Target Q3 2026Achieved Q1 2026
FY 2026 Guidance RaisePrior $375M≥$390M (+$15M)
Concerns
Adj. EBITDA (Corp.)Exp. narrow loss−$10.9M (wider)
Operating Loss−$42.7M
Cash Used — Operations−$51.3M
Organic vs. M&A MixOrganic focus$34.7M from acq.
GAAP EPS Driver$389M non-cash warrant
OpEx Growth$67.3M (+471% YoY)
Income Statement Summary (USD thousands)
Select P&L Data — Q1 2026 vs Q1 2025
Line Item Q1 2026 Q1 2025 Change
Revenue, net $50,122 $4,248 +1,065%
Cost of Goods Sold $25,464 $2,760 +822%
Gross Profit $24,658 $1,488 +1,557%
G&A Expenses $43,316 $5,909 +633%
Sales & Marketing $10,494 $2,430 +332%
R&D $13,519 $3,459 +291%
Total OpEx $67,329 $11,798 +471%
Operating Loss −$42,671 −$10,310 Wider
Warrant Fair Value Gain +$389,548 Non-cash
GAAP Net Income $361,250 −$14,136 Non-cash
Adj. EBITDA −$10,878 −$7,494 Wider
Segments & CEO Quote
Ondas Autonomous Systems (OAS)
Revenue contributionPrimary growth driver
Airobotics / OptimusDrone platform — Israeli ops
American RoboticsScout industrial drones
SentrycsCounter-UAS (C-UAS)
Roboteam / ApeiroGround robotics
Mistral (acquired Apr '26)U.S. DoD Prime — $175M
Omnisys (acquired May '26)AI BRO software — $196.6M
OAS EBITDA targetQ1 2027 (pulled fwd 6M)
Ondas Networks & Cash Flow
Networks revenueModest — rail buildout uncertain
DeconsolidatedJan 16, 2026 ($51.5M gain)
Cash used — operations−$51.3M
Cash used — investing−$474.2M
Cash from financing+$968.5M
End-of-Q1 cash$1.48B total
M&A capacity>$4.2B estimated
"Our Q1 2026 results demonstrate the successful execution of our strategic growth initiatives and the scalability of our platform. Our Q1 revenue alone nearly matched all of the revenue Ondas generated during all of 2025. We believe Ondas now has one of the strongest balance sheets in the sector, and this is a key competitive advantage as we scale the business."
Eric Brock, CEO  ·  Q1 2026 Earnings Call, May 14, 2026
Profitability Roadmap
Management Targets — Updated Q1 2026
FY 2026 Revenue
≥$390M
FY 2026
Gross Margin Target
>50% → 60%
H2 2026+
Product Companies EBITDA+
Achieved ✓
Q1 2026
OAS Segment EBITDA+
Q1 2027
Fwd 6 months
Company-Wide EBITDA+
Q1 2028
On track
Positives & Concerns
Positives
Revenue growth is real — $50.1M in Q1 alone nearly matches all of FY2025. The 66% sequential jump and 49% gross margin show genuine operating leverage building.
Omnisys adds the AI software layer that transforms ONDS from hardware drone maker to multi-domain autonomous warfare platform — prime for software-multiple rerating.
$457M backlog + $1.48B cash + Mistral prime contractor status = visibility + firepower. M&A capacity of $4.2B means the roll-up is far from over.
Product EBITDA profitability achieved 2 quarters early. OAS segment profitability pulled to Q1 2027. Management is consistently beating its own targets.
Concerns
$42.7M operating loss with $67.3M in OpEx — the revenue is scaling but costs are scaling faster. Cash burn of $51.3M in operations in a single quarter is unsustainable without continued raises.
$361.2M GAAP net income was 100% driven by $389.5M non-cash warrant gain — not indicative of underlying business economics. EPS is misleading at face value.
6+ acquisitions in 2026 creates severe integration risk. $34.7M of $50.1M Q1 revenue came from acquired entities — organic baseline is harder to validate.
Heavy Israel concentration (Airobotics, Omnisys, Sentrycs, 4M Defense) and $1.1B warrant liability represent structural risks that weigh on the multiple.
Analyst Coverage
Wall Street — Post Q1 2026
Firm Rating Price Target Upside ~$10 Key Note
H.C. WainwrightBuy$25.00+150%$500M+ pipeline; autonomous leader
NeedhamBuy$23.00+130%Omnisys = most strategic deal to date
Lake StreetBuy$17.50+75%Raised post Q1; defense ramp visible
OppenheimerBuy$16.00+60%Most conservative; integration risk flagged
StifelStrong Buy~$13–14+35–40%Backs transformation narrative
Consensus (8)Strong Buy$20.13+101%0 Hold  ·  0 Sell
Earnings Verdict
Speculative Buy  ·  High Conviction, High Risk
Q1 2026 was an unambiguously strong quarter on the metrics that matter: revenue, gross margin, backlog, and profitability milestones. The 31% revenue beat and 49% gross margin show the business is scaling with improving unit economics. The non-cash EPS figure is noise — the adjusted EBITDA loss of $10.9M and $51.3M operating cash burn are the real numbers to watch. Investors should focus on whether Q2 delivers continued backlog conversion and whether Mistral + Omnisys integration proceeds on schedule. The $390M FY guidance implies roughly $340M in the remaining 3 quarters — a significant sequential ramp. Next earnings August 11, 2026.
Earnings Verdict
Speculative Buy
Risk
High
Consensus PT
$20.13
Upside
~100%
FY Guide
≥$390M
Next Earnings
Aug 11, 2026